North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #21
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #10
Noblesville Regional Rank #8
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.2%
Advance to State Finals 6.0%
Advance to Semi-State 7.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/4 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 365 497 418 316 393 403 919 481 312
Team Adjusted Rating 435 368 316 382 403 365 408 312
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Marion County Championship North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
29  Ian Hunter 11 16:08 16:56 16:20 16:13 16:14 16:16 16:49 15:57 16:02 16:02
135  Adam Faler 12 16:43 16:34 16:43 16:57 16:53 16:30 16:40
204  Isaac Weber 11 17:00 17:14 17:02 16:53 17:17 17:01 16:45 16:54
276  Jacob Logan 12 17:12 17:16 17:05 16:52 17:26 17:14 17:06 17:18
322  Adam McGoff 12 17:17 17:27 17:27 17:03
337  Ian Cummings 11 17:19 17:17 17:17 17:13 17:04 18:01 17:16
456  Antwine Johnson 11 17:33 17:45 17:37 17:40 17:44 17:21 17:22
473  Aidan Minto 10 17:35 17:33 17:24 17:31 17:51
588  Jack Hawes 10 17:45 17:48 18:07 17:21 17:51 17:40
628  Alex Frey 9 17:48 17:44 18:09 18:03 17:45 17:34
654  Jacob Lough 11 17:51 17:44 17:27 17:09 18:02 18:57
825  Will Keedy 12 18:04 17:53 18:37 18:02 17:58
888  Eric Petersen 10 18:10 18:34 18:50 17:55 17:50
935  Spencer Kutschera 11 18:13 17:47 18:38 18:17
972  Jacob Ruschhaupt 10 18:16 18:16 18:54 18:08 18:12 18:10
1,039  Raul Lazo 9 18:21 18:19 18:13 18:36
1,172  Will Kirk 9 18:30 18:39 18:37 18:15
1,218  Jacob Martin 12 18:33 18:23 18:49 18:53 18:19 18:33
1,227  Malcolm Corbett 11 18:33 18:09 19:14 19:13 17:58
1,245  Howard Hendricks 9 18:35 18:09 19:29 17:58 18:52 18:01 19:20
1,283  Anderson Whitnell 11 18:37 18:28 19:13 19:11 18:14 18:29
1,327  Mark Kincade 12 18:40 18:32 18:49 18:51 18:46 18:31
1,406  James Jackson 9 18:47 19:07 18:16 18:55
Korbin Casey 9 19:13 19:19 18:56 19:24
Max Mukhin 10 19:20 20:02 18:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 6.0% 11.4 324 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 7.6% 5.8 180 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.5 1.6 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 7.4 181 0.0 0.2 1.5 5.8 12.4 22.4 46.6 11.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.8 73 1.9 32.5 50.3 15.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 93.9% 29.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.2 93.5% 93.9%
Adam Faler 9.7% 76.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9% 5.8%
Isaac Weber 6.0% 112.5 0.0% 0.1%
Jacob Logan 6.0% 134.5 0.0% 0.0%
Adam McGoff 6.0% 145.5 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Cummings 6.0% 147.9 0.0% 0.0%
Antwine Johnson 6.0% 167.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 100.0% 11.0 0.1 2.2 3.9 5.1 6.2 6.8 6.9 6.4 6.6 6.0 5.7 4.7 4.4 4.0 3.5 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.1 2.0 2.1 1.7 1.3 1.1 100.0% 100.0%
Adam Faler 74.6% 45.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 72.5% 74.6%
Isaac Weber 19.5% 58.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9% 16.7%
Jacob Logan 8.3% 67.5 0.7% 1.9%
Adam McGoff 7.7% 75.0 0.1% 0.4%
Ian Cummings 7.7% 75.5 0.1% 0.3%
Antwine Johnson 7.6% 93.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 100% 8.9 0.1 2.1 3.9 5.8 7.4 7.6 7.7 8.5 7.9 6.8 6.4 6.1 5.3 4.3 3.8 3.1 2.8 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Adam Faler 100% 31.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.9 2.8 3.4 3.4 100.0%
Isaac Weber 100% 44.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Jacob Logan 100% 53.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Adam McGoff 100% 57.5 100.0%
Ian Cummings 100% 58.5 0.0 100.0%
Antwine Johnson 100% 67.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Hunter 2.2 9.4 35.6 27.9 18.1 5.6 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Adam Faler 8.9 0.8 3.0 8.2 10.1 9.5 9.8 9.2 8.4 8.2 7.0 6.5 5.9 4.7 3.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Isaac Weber 16.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.8 3.1 3.9 5.1 5.7 6.6 8.3 8.9 9.2 8.7 8.4 8.1 6.2 4.6 2.8 1.6 0.9
Jacob Logan 21.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.3 3.8 4.9 5.7 7.4 8.7 10.9 11.1 10.3 8.7 6.2
Adam McGoff 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.9 5.4 7.4 9.1 10.8 11.4 11.2
Ian Cummings 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.8 2.3 3.1 5.0 5.8 8.3 11.0 11.5 10.8
Antwine Johnson 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 3.0 5.0